South Korea has 433 cases now with 2 deaths.
Iran has 28 Cases with 5 deaths.
I know which of those stats sounds more believable to me. Scott Gottlieb the ex FDA head had information on his twitter feed that South Korea had already tested, or were in the process of testing, 20,000 patients. Looks like they had done about 13k roughly earlier today, probably much more now with the second release of information. They release the results in the morning and late afternoon everyday. It looks like they are able to test many thousands of people a day so we’re going to get amazing intel from them even of the mildly affected hopefully.
2 deaths so far from 433 people, and probably we’ll find out that a lot more people have it also over the next week as they test more. The actual data there is looking quite good. A low case fatality rate so far. This is in agreement with some of the data in China that is outside of Hubei. Zhejiang has 1,205 cases, 718 recovered and just 1 death so far.
From the 5 deaths already I’d say Iran has at least 500 cases minimum.
It could well be that with the proper preparation and with the proper quarantining that health services can really get a handle on this and the CFR could be below 1% (perhaps well below). Shanghai also has a very low number of cases and I think that is because of a really strong quarantine and lack of migrant workers coming to Shanghai. It’s more a services city.