Based on the early days less than 10% of “COVID” FROMdeaths had real evidence of an active SARs CoV infection. Now the we have seen the crash in other cause pneumonia and influenza deaths the last year with no huge jump in mortality numbers it looks like that treu SARs CoV 2 FROM deaths were mostly substitute cause deaths. In other years they would have died of influenza or other cause pneumonia.
I was just looking at the latest CDC numbers and the last 18 months has been nothing unusual with respiratory illness deaths with pulmonary related deaths a bit up but that might be mostly due health care disruption.
This is the first pandemic in history were mortality rates did not go above the historical annual mortality range. In most countries 2020 was not even near the top of the 10 years range. Only countries with socialized medicine had very high death rates for a time.
In a real pandemic you are looking at a spike of 2x / 3x for extended periods of time. The pandemics of the 1968/1957 had big spikes last well over a year and 1918 was catastrophic. Death rates among young males reached wartime levels.