Current and future demand


#1

Some factors among others:

Birth rate
thejournal.ie/census-shows-f … 9-Mar2012/

img2.thejournal.ie/inline/213266 … on=2132661

Net migration rate

thejournal.ie/ireland-popula … 2-Mar2015/

kildarestreet.com/debate/?i … 11-02a.343
Eamon Ryan (Dublin Bay South, Green Party) | Oireachtas source
See the full quote in the link for context

Household size (a changing variable - due to divorce/seperation rates

independent.ie/life/family/f … 17513.html

irishcentral.com/news/divorc … -237438531

This opens up debate on just how big a population we want and the kind of island we want. Increasing urbanisation and its pros and cons etc. Sustainability of pensions/, of the environment etc.
Is a decreasing population a good or bad thing? Is increasing/decreasing productivity the key or even possible ?


#2

As mentioned on another thread, while birth rates are a little below replacement in the long term (1.9 or so), our young-biased population means that we’ll see substantial natural population increase for the foreseeable future, short of mass emigration or a one-child policy. I don’t think falling population is even something that needs to be on the agenda for a few decades.

Actually, even with the one child policy, birth-rates in China didn’t really start falling for over a decade; this was again due to the age profile of the population.