Fukushima


#281

Interview 867 – Aileen Mioko Smith on the Japanese Reactor Restarts - -> corbettreport.com/interview- … -restarts/


#282

Pretty scary report from VICE on Fukushima.
I’ve linked it here on ‘free-tv-video-online’, so I’ll leave it up to you if you wish to click.

free-tv-video-online.me/player/gorillavid.php?id=uxpdtlvdvku9


#283

Gov’t to replace anti-nuclear members on industry regulator - -> japantoday.com/category/nati … -regulator


#284

A small island off the Antrim coast has emerged as an unlikely potential supplier of edible seaweed to Japan - a country whose own stocks have been hit by the Fukushima nuclear disaster.

sundayworld.com/top-stories/rathlin-island-family-plan-to-export-irish-seaweed-to-japan


#285

Fukushima prefecture “All swimming beaches and 14 lake beaches safe enough ” / Radiation level not disclosed - -> fukushima-diary.com/2014/07/fuku … disclosed/

Radioactive density in tapwater higher in Tokyo than Miyagi in first quarter of 2014 - -> fukushima-diary.com/2014/07/radi … rter-2014/

Tepco to cover the 180,000 m2 of sea bed of Fukushima plant port with concrete - -> fukushima-diary.com/2014/06/tepc … -concrete/

Fukushima has 9 days to prevent ‘unsafe’ overheating - -> rt.com/news/170800-fukushima-wat … peratures/

TEPCO still can’t prevent Fukushima radioactive water from leaking into soil, sea - -> voiceofrussia.com/news/2014_07_0 … -sea-5050/


#286

Fukushima Radiation Exceeds Chernobyl Evacuation Levels Across Japan - -> fukuleaks.org/web/?p=11871
December 2nd, 2013

57 Fukushima children suffering from thyroid cancer - -> japantoday.com/category/nati … oid-cancer

Gov’t to release testimony of deceased Fukushima plant chief - -> japantoday.com/category/nati … lant-chief

Knowledge, talent must be utilized to tackle radioactive water problem - -> the-japan-news.com/news/article/0001509912


#287

You wonder what the long-term consequences of this will be ?


#288

The World’s Most Dangerous Room
Three and a half years after a catastrophic meltdown, Fukushima is far from fixed
By Hannah Beech/Fukushima
Photographs & Video by Dominic Nahr for TIME
August 21, 2014
time.com/worlds-most-dangerous-room/

No One Wants You to Know How Bad Fukushima Might Still Be
By Johnny Magdaleno
August 24, 2014
news.vice.com/article/no-one-wa … t-still-be


#289

Almost nothing. Radiation levels are too low. For instance the large chart maps radiation levels levels range from 1 mS to 5 mS/per annum both are negligible. US has background radiation over 6mS.


#290

Asahi apologizes for erroneous Fukushima, comfort women reports - -> japantoday.com/category/nati … en-reports

Fukushima fallout continues: now cleanup workers claim unpaid wages - -> theguardian.com/environment/ … paid-wages

No One Wants You to Know How Bad Fukushima Might Still Be - -> news.vice.com/article/no-one-wa … t-still-be

Fukushima accepts ‘temporary’ radioactive waste storage - -> channelnewsasia.com/news/asi … 40956.html

Late Fukushima nuclear plant chief’s testimony may be made public - -> japantimes.co.jp/news/2014/0 … de-public/


#291

Food in Fukushima is safe, fear remains.


#292

On the issue of Japanese food. Let’s say that an area of harvested rice is found to have a radiation level that exceeds the limits. That rice can be expected to cause a certain number of cancers for the quantity of radiation it contains. That relationship is understood.

That tainted rice is not fit for consumption, but it can legally be blended with untainted rice so that the entire harvest now has an elevated radiation level, but because it is under the limits it can now all be sold for human consumption.

BUT, the entire harvest of rice now contains the original quantity of radiation and it can be expected to cause the very same number of cancers, except now that number of cancers will be distributed through a greater number of people and they will be even harder to attribute to any given source.

You need to think about that.


#293

No, that doesn’t follow. Dose is everything. A meal containing a lethal dose for one person could probably* be divided up and given to a billion people and result in no deaths.

*I haven’t done the maths.


#294

Delivery of radioactive soil to interim storage begins in Fukushima - -> japantimes.co.jp/news/2015/0 … fukushima/


#295

From a statistics standpoint assuming the linear no-threshold model (which is far from clear scientifically), on average you’d expect the same number of cancers/deaths.

That’s not the full story though. Radiation limits tend to be extremely conservative. For example from the article:

The human body produces about 390uSv from Potassium in a year, 1/100000 of that is .0039uSv. 100mSv a year is about where you need to start worrying about cancer, so still assuming linear-no-threshold you’d expect a chance of 3.9e-8 of cancer - say 4e-8 for simplicity. Even spread among the worlds population that’s a 5% chance for a single person to have an increased risk of cancer if everyone ate this rice for a year. Now let’s guess that works out as a 1% chance of death due to this increased risk (it’s likely smaller). This works out as a 4e-10 chance of death due to this rice, or .0004micromorts.

You’re 1000 times more likely to die from getting out of bed, than from food with elevated radiation due to Fukishima - and that’s assuming several worst cases.

This is scare mongering.


#296

Could you explain your workings here. A number of your assumptions aren’t very clear to say the least. Thanks.

A couple of points.

The Japanese safety limit for food of 100Bq/kg (10Bq/kg for water) does not reflect the type type of radioactive element that is contained. While the body can ingest potassium from bananas, or naturally occurring radon in the air, those elements don’t accumulate in the body in the way that radioactive Iodine will accumulate in the thyroid, Caesium will accumulate in the heart muscle, and Strontium will accumulate in the bones. As Japanese food and water is mostly affected by these elements it is necessary to look at the effective dose from them.

If we look at Cesium-137, it has been found to have a ‘biological half life’ of 110 days. This means that it takes 110 days for the body to remove 50% of the cesium ingested, resulting in the rapid bioaccumulation of the element within the body. Consuming food with only 10Bq/Kg would increase the internal radiation within a 70kg human body by 1400Bq. Research has clearly shown that a contamination of Radiocesium of this level (20Bq/Kg of body weight) in children has a devastating affect on the heart. Radiocesium and the Heart

The 100mSv dose is associated with a 1% increase in cancer across a population. As an example in the US it is estimated that there will be 1.6 million cancer cases diagnosed and 600,000 cancer deaths. A 1% increase would represent 16,000 additional cancer cases and 6,000 cancer deaths. US Cancer Statistics.

Also worth noting that when we say ‘across a population’ we are talking about ALL of the population. As we know, children are far more at risk from exposure to ionizing radiation, and the US Academy of Sciences BEIR VII Phase 2 risk Model shows that it only takes 20mSv to cause a 1% increase in cancer risk in children.

It will be extremely difficult to say that a particular cancer is caused by the ongoing Fukushima disaster but we do know that the link between low levels of ionizing radiation releases and negative health impacts is proven beyond all doubt. There is no debate about this anymore because it is absolutely proven and we know that we can expect a serious ongoing impact on human health right around the world.

Despite the censorship of Japanese health reporting we are starting to see the impacts of this disaster on human health. We know from the live birth figures after the disaster recorded a 10% collapse in live births in Fukushima that can only be attributed to spontaneous miscarriage similar to what occurred after Chernobyl. We know that there has been a surge in hypothyrodism in California after the disaster, and indeed a 28% increase across the US.

We are also seeing the start of the Thyroid cancer wave in children with almost 200 cases now confirmed. Thyroid cancer in children would be expected to have an incidence of 1:1,000,000, but instead rates in Fukushima are now already 1:3000.

We know that white blood cell counts in Japanese children have fallen significantly and indicate immune systems that are severely stressed. We know that Japanese monkeys are showing a similar fall in white blood cell counts that is a direct result of eating berries and nuts.

This disaster is only beginning.


#297

Ok, I am not an expert but a lot of what you have written doesnt look right/uses dubious sources. Lets start: wiki says “the biological behavior of caesium is similar to that of potassium”

wiki says 70 days

I don’t think it works like that

The link in the Wired article says “Consumption over 1 year of foods contaminated with 100 Bq/kg 137Cs and 10 Bq/kg 90Sr (authority-assumed ratio of 90Sr/137Cs of 0.1) will cause a committed dose of 1 mSv.”

a scientist has written a paper

where are we getting 100 mSv from again?

Does the paper actually make that claim or are you guessing? I would expect births to drop due to the disruption of peoples lives in the region

The institute of science in society? (ISIS, hey, they might want to change their name). Wiki says “In reviewing the organisation, David Colquhoun accused the ISIS of promoting pseudoscience and specifically criticised Ho’s understanding of homeopathy”

Well I haven’t checked the data, but skeptoidskeptoid.com/blog/2014/01/06/its-time-to-play-know-your-sources-of-crap/ claims “ENEnews seems willing to make up or exaggerate pretty much any claim in the service making you think toxic radiation is killing the Pacific Ocean, frying the west coast and on the verge of wiping out humanity. None of which is supported by reputable science. A link to ENEnews is a link to bad science.”

Well I warned you about Busby thepropertypin.com/viewtopic.php?f=15&t=39096&p=723398&hilit=busby#p723398before. The other authors: “The Mangano and Sherman paper is a prime example of a troubling new trend in which junk science is becoming harder to distinguish from rigorous research. It is an example of activists using the trappings of science to influence public opinion and policy. Today there are cottage industries that produce and disseminate skewed research in publications that masquerade as legitimate science journals. Celebrities and mainstream media outlets then tout the results, so that even retracted or clearly biased research can reach larger audiences than ever before. These studies cause real harm—for instance, by denouncing lifesaving vaccines and vilifying foods that could ease famine in developing countries.” popularmechanics.com/science/health/a10329/what-can-we-do-about-junk-science-16674140/


#298

+1 pishwish. Thanks for working through this. Nice job.


#299

He hasn’t addressed anything that I have posted. That’s a nice job?


#300

A couple of points.

The Japanese safety limit for food of 100Bq/kg (10Bq/kg for water) does not reflect the type type of radioactive element that is contained. While the body can ingest potassium from bananas, or naturally occurring radon in the air, those elements don’t accumulate in the body in the way that radioactive Iodine will accumulate in the thyroid, Caesium will accumulate in the heart muscle, and Strontium will accumulate in the bones. As Japanese food and water is mostly affected by these elements it is necessary to look at the effective dose from them.

If we look at Cesium-137, it has been found to have a ‘biological half life’ of 110 days. This means that it takes 110 days for the body to remove 50% of the cesium ingested, resulting in the rapid bioaccumulation of the element within the body. Consuming food with only 10Bq/Kg would increase the internal radiation within a 70kg human body by 1400Bq. Research has clearly shown that a contamination of Radiocesium of this level (20Bq/Kg of body weight) in children has a devastating affect on the heart. Radiocesium and the Heart

The 100mSv dose is associated with a 1% increase in cancer across a population. As an example in the US it is estimated that there will be 1.6 million cancer cases diagnosed and 600,000 cancer deaths. A 1% increase would represent 16,000 additional cancer cases and 6,000 cancer deaths. US Cancer Statistics.

Also worth noting that when we say ‘across a population’ we are talking about ALL of the population. As we know, children are far more at risk from exposure to ionizing radiation, and the US Academy of Sciences BEIR VII Phase 2 risk Model shows that it only takes 20mSv to cause a 1% increase in cancer risk in children.

It will be extremely difficult to say that a particular cancer is caused by the ongoing Fukushima disaster but we do know that the link between low levels of ionizing radiation releases and negative health impacts is proven beyond all doubt. There is no debate about this anymore because it is absolutely proven and we know that we can expect a serious ongoing impact on human health right around the world.

Despite the censorship of Japanese health reporting we are starting to see the impacts of this disaster on human health. We know from the live birth figures after the disaster recorded a 10% collapse in live births in Fukushima that can only be attributed to spontaneous miscarriage similar to what occurred after Chernobyl. We know that there has been a surge in hypothyrodism in California after the disaster, and indeed a 28% increase across the US.

We are also seeing the start of the Thyroid cancer wave in children with almost 200 cases now confirmed. Thyroid cancer in children would be expected to have an incidence of 1:1,000,000, but instead rates in Fukushima are now already 1:3000.

We know that white blood cell counts in Japanese children have fallen significantly and indicate immune systems that are severely stressed. We know that Japanese monkeys are showing a similar fall in white blood cell counts that is a direct result of eating berries and nuts.

This disaster is only beginning.