Interest rates are falling

[Pill]

@Duplex

@2nz

@Duplex

Just for you 2nz.

https://business.maktoob.com/feature_reports_images/chart2-asia-property-bubble-burst.jpg

@Duplex

Just for you 2nz…quote]

Eh, dude, I’m one of the biggest bears that you could meet there’s no need to try convince me that the market is\could going south. Point out where I went bull and I’ll be happy to argue otherwise lets stay on topic and keep reminding Joe that interest rates are not going up.

Or is it Friday and this is an easy nipple-twist?

No, its just good to see the gnarly bears back in the woods.

Nice chart Duplex. You don’t happen to have others for non-Asian bubbles? Thanks

[xman]

@whizzbang

That chart is a bit misleading., it makes it look like the prices only dropped back a small amount compared to the increase. Where as if they dropped 50% then well over half the gains would be gone surely?

House price = 100

House price increases by 100%.

House price = 200

House price decreases by 50%.

House price = 100

So a 50% fall wipes out a 100% rise.

[whizzbang]

@xman

@whizzbang

That chart is a bit misleading., it makes it look like the prices only dropped back a small amount compared to the increase. Where as if they dropped 50% then well over half the gains would be gone surely?

House price = 100

House price increases by 100%.

House price = 200

House price decreases by 50%.

House price = 100

So a 50% fall wipes out a 100% rise.

Exactly, But I think the graph makes it look like the only lose 20% off the top. I don’t think most people read the numbers, they just look at teh size of the bars.

It might be clearer if it showed Average house price before bubble, average house price at peak, and average house price at trough. Might be easier to understand for average joe.So it would look like this…

Before:

Peak:
####################
Trough:
##########

Or maybe a line graph…

[idij]

@whizzbang

Exactly, But I think the graph makes it look like the only lose 20% off the top. I don’t think most people read the numbers, they just look at teh size of the bars.

It might be clearer if it showed Average house price before bubble, average house price at peak, and average house price at trough. Might be easier to understand for average joe.So it would look like this…

Before:

Peak:
####################
Trough:
##########

Or maybe a line graph…

Assuming they are not adjusting for inflation (possibly incorrect?), all except Singapore fell back below a base of 100 if I didn’t screw up the formulas.

copy to excel & make your own graph

Location	Base	Rise	Boom	Peak	Fall	Bust	Low
Singapore	100	281.7	6 years	381.7	54.5	2 years	173.7
Japan     	100	156.5	5 years	256.5	68.2	5 years	81.6
Hong Kong	100	76.0	4 years	176.0	49.8	7 years	88.4
South Korea	100	71.4	2 years	171.4	46.7	1 years	91.4
Philippines	100	54.5	1 years	154.5	56.2	8 years	67.7
Thailand	100	48.1	6 years	148.1	45.4	2 years	80.9
Ireland      	100	?	?	?	?	?	?

[Open_Window]

@idij

@whizzbang

Exactly, But I think the graph makes it look like the only lose 20% off the top. I don’t think most people read the numbers, they just look at teh size of the bars.

It might be clearer if it showed Average house price before bubble, average house price at peak, and average house price at trough. Might be easier to understand for average joe.So it would look like this…

Before:

Peak:
####################
Trough:
##########

Or maybe a line graph…

Assuming they are not adjusting for inflation (possibly incorrect?), all except Singapore fell back below a base of 100 if I didn’t screw up the formulas.

copy to excel & make your own graph

Location	Base	Rise	Boom	Peak	Fall	Bust	Low
Singapore	100	281.7	6 years	381.7	54.5	2 years	173.7
Japan     	100	156.5	5 years	256.5	68.2	5 years	81.6
Hong Kong	100	76.0	4 years	176.0	49.8	7 years	88.4
South Korea	100	71.4	2 years	171.4	46.7	1 years	91.4
Philippines	100	54.5	1 years	154.5	56.2	8 years	67.7
Thailand	100	48.1	6 years	148.1	45.4	2 years	80.9
Ireland      	100	?	?	?	?	?	?

Such a tease.

I declare a GRAPH competiton!!!

HERE → thepropertypin.com/viewtopic … 9495#59495