IMHO The bailout of AIB has all but made this inevitable. What investor is going to put money into these companies and then be undercut continually by the Irish taxpayer/ECB propping up AIB. Is it a wonder the foreign banks are retreating from the main street in Ireland.
In a similar vein, while I don’t believe in this talking up/talking down stuff, if the government wants them to raise private capital, why is it talking about doing to them what it did to AIB? IMO, any investors stupid enough to be swayed by government opinion will be scared well away by this announcement, thus further deepening the taxpayer’s exposure.
“Nah, we just need to redirect our helpfulness. Let’s help the market*, not the banks.”
That’s it now in a nutshell, the Irish taxpayer has become the “invisible hand”
and in keeping with our generous nature we have become the “helpful invisible hand”.
So now, in addition to expecting all future textbooks on macro economics to include a full chapter dedicated to Ireland and how not to fuck up a complete country, we can also be referred to by our new title, earned for us by our very own “Adam Smith” yes it’s none other than Brian “helpful invisible hand” Linehan.