Oil and Gas fields off the Irish Coast


#401

Providence just posted an RNS on the London Stock Exchange. The second target on the Druid/Drombeg drill contains nothing more valuable than water either. Bad news for all the license holders in adjacent blocks too. Providence say their next plan is to drill the Barryroe field in the Celtic Sea themselves in 2018, having miserably failed to farm it out for five years now. I expect their share price will be about 4p when the market opens in 30 minutes time, down 99.5% from their five year high.


#402

Eh. And once the current inter-glacial (the Holocene) is over we are back to…the Pleistocene. Most geological epochs are defined by major changes in the flora/ fauna used to establish stratigraphic series over long periods of times. Which is why the big ones tend to aligned with mass extinctions. Or major reconfigs of major land masses. The Pleistocene started with the current series of glaciations. About 3M. B.P. It will end when the current series of glaciations end. In a couple of million years. Give or take. The Holocene epoch was created to give a name to contemporary geological events. In the last 10K years. Just a matter of tidyness. But we are still in the Pleistocene glaciation event. The Holocene is just the placeholder name for the current inter-glacial interval.

To avoid nit pickers the term Quaternary is also used for both epochs but as all the fun geology happened in the Pleistocene thats the term that is generally used for the most important geological event of the last 20M years. Ice. Lots and lots of ice.

It never went away you know, the Pleistocene.


#403

Not a bad introduction to geology for the masses I’ll give you that.

But things have changed around here JMC, in case you haven’t noticed.


#404

No the Pleistocene is over, no going back. Damn chronology prevents you naming the same thing twice


#405

Investor unease as Providence’s hunt for oil continues

irishtimes.com/business/ene … -1.3217413


#406

Even if oil is discovered in these deepwater offshore wells when is it ever going to be commercially attractive, even viable, to take the risks of setting up a new offshore pipeline and other supports needed to extract deepwater oil, in this world of cheap abundant oil available at relatively low cost from fracking plus onshore wells?


#407

The weird (but understandable) thing about oil as a fungible commodity is that, with certain caveats, every barrel sells for the same amount as the last marginal barrel extracted. The price is set by the cost of the most expensive barrel which is economically viable to extract, and for which there is a demand. It doesn’t matter that there are barrels that can be extracted for $2 as long as you can make a profit at $53 (currently). Oil demand is still inexorably increasing, and the price of oil services – rigs, ships, down-hole technology, seismic surveying etc. – has plummeted. So there are plenty of attractive prospects.


#408

Wind energy is forging ahead and has guaranteed contracts. Surely it will be more profitable to harvest the deep (shallower will be cheaper) oceans wind resource than oil. Wind power can be sold to rich countries with guaranteed pricing and it looks like oil demand is going to drop precipitously in developed economies including China.

We know exactly where the wind is.


#409

Wind is not currently a replacement for oil. Outside of a few island territories like Hawaii, and a few backward places like Ireland, oil is not used to generate electricity. And conversely, electricity will not replace a significant amount of transport energy in the short to medium term.


#410

I think your wrong about electricity not replacing a significant amount of oil use soon.
Depending on definition of soon,certainly within 10 years we should a marked change. Wind is a replacement for oil as it can charge batteries which power cars. Its slightly more complicated than that but not much! With some mega sized batteries put together for power storage it’s going to get really interesting. No way oil can compete with that with all the factors against it.

The point is not only that though, it doesn’t make sense from an investment perspective because wind resources are become cheaper all the timeto harvest and yet we know exactly where they are and estimate are pretty accurate of what’s available.
Along with long-term pricing contracts for wind the money is going to flow into that industry.

Gas and oil are already abundant from the US, another factor.


#411

The oil used for light vehicles (i.e. cars) alone is approximately energetically equivalent to all current electricity generation. Countries are struggling to keep up with increasing electricity demand as it is, especially bearing in mind their commitments to decarbonise. The US EIA’s international energy outlook for 2016 estimates that world electricity generation will increase 70% by 2040 ( though only 40% in OECD countries). That’s about 2.2% per year. What additional percentage are you estimating we will add in ten years to current electricity consumption, on top of the amount needed to cater for increases in non-transport uses? Bear in mind that oil demand is increasing at about 1.6% annually too.

Not sure what you’re saying here. Oil and LNG exports from the US are a new phenomenon, as crude oil exports were banned until quite recently. Those exports may well increase significantly, but I’m not sure what argument you’re making.


#412

Plus there will not be an alternative to HGV diesels for a very long time.


#413

#414

Germany set to pay customers for electricity usage as renewable energy generation creates huge power surplus - > independent.co.uk/environmen … 22576.html

All very well but it ain’t free . . .

EUROPE POWER-Fall in wind power generation lifts German spot - -> af.reuters.com/article/commodit … FL8N1N54A4

Why Aren’t Renewables Decreasing Germany’s Carbon Emissions? - -> forbes.com/sites/jamesconca … emissions/

Germany’s Shift to Green Power Stalls, Despite Huge Investments - -> nytimes.com/2017/10/07/busi … nergy.html

Czech TSO commissions final phase shifters on German border - -> platts.com/latest-news/elec … n-26810002


#415

thejournal.ie/fossil-fuels-3839453-Feb2018/

Ah, I remember when PBB used to put up posters about our enormous offshore fossil fuel resources that we could nationalise and pay for everything. Still, times change and no doubt PBP and FF TDs will be fully behind any new onshore wind farm proposals, peat burning power station closures, and restrictions on the use of fossil fuels in transport, fishing, and agriculture.


#416

Seems really dumb preventing rich oil companies paying tax and wasting their money drilling for oil off the coast.


#417

Do these people not fly? Cher certainly does

Gas is clean too anyway, unbelievable nonsense


#418

French energy giant Total finds more than one trillion m3 of gas off Shetland Islands

express.co.uk/news/uk/10219 … ters-Total


#419

I think its cubic feet not cubic metres :wink: … a trillion cubic metres would put it in the top 50 fields ever discovered, and in the top 20 non-associated (i.e. gas only) gas fields.


#420

Providence Resources completed the sign-off on the farm out of its Barryroe field the other day. Three to five appraisal wells to be drilled starting next summer. Estimated recoverable oil is 350 million barrels. Share price is up around 40% this week.