Ominous signs in Australia

brisbanetimes.com.au/nation … 4z8s3.html

Uh-oh - it’s too late to leave the party, well, it is when you are so drunk you can’t walk.

afr.com/real-estate/auction … 925-h15tq0

apparently regulation is ‘acute’ - XD

Vermin

afr.com/real-estate/melbour … 812-h13v0u

amp.9news.com.au/article/b99fbe … e8e02e0f23


news.com.au/finance/economy … 1223ae1743

While the overall average is much less, some individual postcode areas have dropped by around 15 - 27 or so %

smh.com.au/money/investing/ … 506od.html

Sydney:

smh.com.au/money/investing/ … 506b5.html

Check out the cool tool on realestate.com.au
Lets look at St Kilda on it…
realestate.com.au/neighbour … 2-vic?cid=

Scroll down to the “Median property price” heading, look at the trend for the last few months - since June prices have been below 1 million and as of September 2018 the median is $865,000.
Change the chart from monthly to annual - the latest number is December 2017 - I reckon the chart must need a full year to auto expand another year which is why on the monthly we get the month just gone etc. Anyway the Median price as of December 2017 was $1,367,500

Eye watering with plenty of more room to drop. In 2013 house prices were $590,000 - which is where it dropped to (from highs of $727,750) after the last temporary drop in prices with were ramped back up by various things that just wont help this time.

9news.com.au/national/2018/ … -sold-land

Repo fun begins

Where’s me Nama Sport!

Site repo’d in 2014, new owner started work on it a couple of weeks ago and displaced owner then decided to “occupy” the land!
Why didn’t make a stand four years ago?

Ben Gilroy prob going on holidays to Oz in the near future.

More than 1 million households in mortgage stress

macrobusiness.com.au/2018/1 … ouseholds/

and…people are starting to wonder about deposit safety

abc.net.au/news/2018-10-16/e … s/10378570

AMP predicting a 20% peak to trough decline in Sydney/Melbourne. Back to 2015 levels they reckon. To sustain a bounce at those levels you would need what? Maybe if rental yields get to levels where they exceed the cost of capital? I think that would require a big discount even if interest rates drop. Even then, value investors would be looking for a decent risk premium before taking the plunge. Lenders are likely to get a whole lot more selective in who they lend to.
afr.com/real-estate/amp-cap … 018-h16sdp

theconversation.com/vital-signs … how-105137

abc.net.au/news/2018-10-27/ … y/10429078

Communist party wine

Australia already selling off the silverware

abc.net.au/news/2018-10-26/ … u/10435148

Has any country other than China ever ended up on the winning side of one of these deals ?

I dont get it
Are they on about future lending?
Can I assume they have packaged all there existing (billions/trillions) loans to third parties i.e. you and me and pension funds?

news.com.au/finance/busines … dd171fc571

macrobusiness.com.au/2018/1 … downwards/

podcast
abcmedia.akamaized.net/radio/lo … gomery.mp3

macrobusiness.com.au/2018/1 … partments/

another interesting sign
forums.whirlpool.net.au/forum-r … ?t=2762040

Really interesting perspective about retirement develops at the 40 minute mark, I hadn’t thought about the inability in a falling market to raise the downpayment that developers would need to begin.

I reckon the Irish Fair Deal scheme could be adapted further to bridge that gap. It would actually allow people stay out of nursing homes longer if they can transition to a semi independent living developments.