Those expecting us to default, wont happen under current Government, too many assets to cover repayments…
when we do not meet criteria set out by our IMF/EU friends.
New Government only hope of default. Dont think anyone in the current politicial arena is big enough to take that on.
More Bailout money will be required…
Bottom line:
So its going to be a long and slow painful erosion of our standard of living over the next 3 yrs (for starters).
I think they will be able to kick this can down the road every time.
Please add anything I am missing or anything you disagree with.
The youngish lad Ross Nathan was his name I think from some London think thank. He was pretty good. Said we were just kicking the can down the road and the markets wouldn’t accept it.
Yeah, but he made it sound like our NPRF is now in the pot and can’t be pulled back out so we can’t use that 17.5bn if we decide to default.
He made it sound like we’ve surrendered it.
So just how much smaller when compared with, say, Finland? Does that mean the end of BOI and AIB as separate banks? Or ideally a break up and a sell off of the fragments to foreign buyers? Hope so. The acceleration of the transfer to NAMA points that way.
rte.ie/news/2010/1128/economy2.html
between this and what the babyfaced irish economist was saying on BBC News is it a case that we are now in a worse position than yesterday in that we can’t default and the higher interest rates are being disguised by our own contribution from NPRF?
Have Biffo and Lenihan been outmanoeuvred again as they were in 2008?
We didn’t get 85Bn and we didn’t get it at a low interest rate.
What did people expect? Did people really expect the IMF and the German’s to give us a sweet deal, especially considering our gross lack of hubris with the Celtic Tiger?