Transport 21 promised all of us new roads and railway lines coming out of our arses and thats not going to happen before 2015 , no sirree.
Its unlikely to happen by 2020 never mind 2015 .
And yet some of these projects are essential and well overdue . Lets look at whats being built right now. All of these are to be finished by 2010 after which there are no contracted projects to pay for .
- Kildare route project , €350m
- 3 Luas extensions , Docklands Citywest Cherrywood Rolling stock €200m
- Dunboyne railway €150m
- Major Inter Urbans ( Galway Limerick Cork Waterford Arklow Kells ) c. €2.2bn
- Waterford Bypass €400m I think .
Meaning that if no new projects are started the government needs to find some €3.3bn to finish off what they have started and of course they will do so . They have signed the contracts or are about to in the case of the Dunboyne rail plan and need to find an average €1.7bn a year in each of 2009 and 2010 .
The government has nothing CONTRACTED in the pipeline after 2010 in the transport sphere because it has no road projects firmly scheduled to start in 2009 or 2010 except the Galway City Bypass which will be stuck in Europe all of 2009 and then cut .
I really must thank Rail Users Ireland for their very accurate guesstimates with which I broadly agree . They may be found here if you want to check the math .
The eyecatching ones are
- Iarnród Éireann Dublin €3.5 billion
- Metro ( Metro West and Metro North) €6 billion
And yet we were subjected this week to a barrage of propaganda from IE on the Interconnector where they sought to describe a stranded and incomplete €2bn Interconnector tunnel from Heuston to Connnolly without mentioning all the other costs like electrification and joining Heuston with a four track line to the Kildare track project ending over two miles away ( mainly by landgrabbing along the side of Con Colbert Road ) and then LOADS of new rolling stock …hence the €3.5bn figure .
Competing for government funding after 2010 is the Atlantic Corridor which will serve as great a population as greater Dublin ( Dublin Meath and Kildare …not Carlow and Louth please .
That will cost another €4bn if you build the L shaped Derry Sligo Limerick Cork Waterford route in full apart from the few completed sections .
It is manifestly obvious that ALL the following will not be built .
**1. The Dart Interconnector €3.5bn to actually finish the project .
2. Metro North and West €6bn
3. Atlantic Corridor €4bn
- Existing Projects . €3.3bn
for a grand total of €16.8Bn .
It is now looking like only one or two of these will be built and that the government will only really go for
**1. Metro North ( only) €2bn
2. Cork - Galway Atlantic Corridor (core) €1.5bn
- Existing Projects . €3.3bn **
For a total expenditure **of €6.8 Bn **
and may also cut Metro North if the tenders due early next year are 'unexpectedly ’ high Mind you they will then connect the Red and Green Luas lines to mollify De Dubs if they cut the two large projects as now looks likely .
Incidentally I lost all respect for Frank McDonald after he tried to grossly shill the interconnector project in the Times today while hiding the extra costs until thevery end.
I will never trust you again Frank, disgraceful journalism and entirely worthy of your property section.
But Finally Frank remembers its not the SINDO he writes for .