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 Post subject: CSO Residential Property Price Index - megathread
PostPosted: Tue Oct 25, 2011 11:36 am 
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Planning Tribunal Attendee

Joined: Nov 7, 2008
Posts: 1317
Residential down 14.3% year to date, down 1.5% in September.

http://www.cso.ie/releasespublications/ ... ep2011.pdf


Last edited by mambo on Tue Feb 28, 2012 4:33 pm, edited 5 times in total.
Renamed thread as it's turning into a megathread


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 Post subject: Re: CSO Index September 2011
PostPosted: Tue Oct 25, 2011 11:42 am 
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Property Magnate

Joined: Jul 6, 2010
Posts: 501
Its frightening how quickly they are falling.


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 Post subject: Re: CSO Index September 2011
PostPosted: Tue Oct 25, 2011 11:43 am 
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Property Magnate

Joined: Jul 6, 2010
Posts: 501
Best case scenario for 2012 is half that but more likely be -10%


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 Post subject: Re: CSO Index September 2011
PostPosted: Tue Oct 25, 2011 12:18 pm 
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Under CAB Investigation

Joined: Jan 31, 2009
Posts: 1602
Great analysis by NWL here: http://namawinelake.wordpress.com/2011/ ... partments/

Apartments in Dublin are now down 59.2% from peak.
Nationally we are down 44.2% from peak.

The biggest surprise is the large percentage movements month on month. If we are getting near a bottom, which we clearly are not, one would expect that the monthly movements would be for lower percentages.


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 Post subject: Re: CSO Index September 2011
PostPosted: Tue Oct 25, 2011 12:52 pm 
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Joined: Jan 25, 2007
Posts: 1830
fungus wrote:
Apartments in Dublin are now down 59.2% from peak.
Nationally we are down 44.2% from peak.

It is uncanny how accurate Morgan Kelly actually was...


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 Post subject: Re: CSO Index September 2011
PostPosted: Tue Oct 25, 2011 1:03 pm 
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Under CAB Investigation

Joined: May 2, 2008
Posts: 1613
Location: Ireland
superman wrote:
fungus wrote:
Apartments in Dublin are now down 59.2% from peak.
Nationally we are down 44.2% from peak.

It is uncanny how accurate Morgan Kelly actually was...


Or maybe the market is 'aware' of Morgans predictions and following suit...


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 Post subject: Re: CSO Index September 2011
PostPosted: Tue Oct 25, 2011 1:06 pm 
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Too Big to Fail
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Joined: Aug 21, 2009
Posts: 4545
Location: Mesopotatia
greentree wrote:
superman wrote:
fungus wrote:
Apartments in Dublin are now down 59.2% from peak.
Nationally we are down 44.2% from peak.

It is uncanny how accurate Morgan Kelly actually was...


Or maybe the market is 'aware' of Morgans predictions and following suit...


Yes. It is Morgan's fault. The damn cribber.

_________________
The real damage is done by those millions who want to 'get by'. The ordinary men who just want to be left in peace. Those who don’t want their lives disturbed by anything bigger than themselves. Those with no sides and no causes. Those who won’t take measure of their own strength, for fear of antagonizing their own weakness. Those people who roll up their spirits into tiny little balls so as to be safe. Safe?! From what?
Sophie Scholl


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 Post subject: Re: CSO Index September 2011
PostPosted: Tue Oct 25, 2011 1:13 pm 
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Old Time Landlord

Joined: Jun 7, 2011
Posts: 375
superman wrote:
fungus wrote:
Apartments in Dublin are now down 59.2% from peak.
Nationally we are down 44.2% from peak.

It is uncanny how accurate Morgan Kelly actually was...


His prediction was for an overshoot to an 80% fall........so, just over half way there! Nationally maybe, but certainly not for houses in parts of Dublin.


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 Post subject: Re: CSO Index September 2011
PostPosted: Tue Oct 25, 2011 1:13 pm 
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Planning Tribunal Attendee

Joined: Nov 7, 2008
Posts: 1317
Dubhgeannain wrote:
Yes. It is Morgan's fault. The damn cribber.


He talked down the economy.


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 Post subject: Re: CSO Index September 2011
PostPosted: Tue Oct 25, 2011 1:18 pm 
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Under CAB Investigation

Joined: Jan 25, 2007
Posts: 1830
KOR101 wrote:
superman wrote:
fungus wrote:
Apartments in Dublin are now down 59.2% from peak.
Nationally we are down 44.2% from peak.

It is uncanny how accurate Morgan Kelly actually was...


His prediction was for an overshoot to an 80% fall........so, just over half way there! Nationally maybe, but certainly not for houses in parts of Dublin.

Not an overshoot of 80% IIRC, I think it was 60% with "up to 80% in areas"?


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