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 Post subject: Re: France, popular revolt (Yellow Vests) What's going on?
PostPosted: Thu Dec 06, 2018 6:34 pm 
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Eschatologist wrote:
dolanbaker wrote:
For me, a 300km range would suit almost 100% of my normal driving, only once in the past 3 years have I exceeded 300km in a single journey.

Yeah, careful with those range figures though. As I posted in the Tesla thread....

All of those quoted ranges would give me a comfortable amount of headroom wrt to range.
Most of my journeys are in the range of 40km and a small number are 130km each way (to the smoke), so with a charger at the destination.
I would have no issues with any of the current EV's on the market.

Well, apart from the fact that they're all above what I can afford to buy, I'll probably pick one up when they're about 6-8 years old.

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 Post subject: Re: Electric Cars and the latest models.
PostPosted: Thu Dec 06, 2018 7:24 pm 
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Well the service stations are going to do great business if people have enforced hour long stops.

Maybe they'll become shopping centres.

Imagine an actual restaurant rather than a shit deli and fast food joint like we have now.

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 Post subject: Re: Electric Cars and the latest models.
PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2018 6:34 am 
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Joined: Oct 20, 2012
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https://seekingalpha.com/article/4225153-evs-oil-ice-impact-2023-beyond

Quote:
This article explores the timings and various impacts of EVs on Big Oil, and the ICE automotive industries, including shale oil plays, Ford, GM, Tesla, Rivian and others.

I find that ICE auto sales will drop 50% by 2025. Passenger car sales are down already with SUVs and Pickup sales to follow with Rivian and Tesla entering the space.

EV penetration into the global auto fleet should initiate an oil glut by 2023. Shale oil (high extraction cost) operations should become stressed first.

By 2031, there will be ~1 billion EVs in the global fleet of cars. This timing is 2 decades faster than many analysts are projecting.

Caveats: Dramatically lower oil prices will delay these projections and operational autonomous vehicle control will accelerate them. Some companies will soar, others will collapse




dolanbaker wrote:
Well, apart from the fact that they're all above what I can afford to buy, I'll probably pick one up when they're about 6-8 years old.


This is one of the key points in the article or the video above, there is a big gap between when someone decides they want an EV, and when they put their money down and drive away

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